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LATEST POLL · SEAT ESTIMATE

Estimated House Seats

Projected House seats from the latest reviewed party-vote poll. This is a polling estimate, not an official election result.

TIED FOR MOST SEATS Labour and National · 34 seats each Using the seat projection published with the latest reviewed poll.
Labour · seat 1 of 34 Labour · seat 2 of 34 Labour · seat 3 of 34 Labour · seat 4 of 34 Labour · seat 5 of 34 Labour · seat 6 of 34 Labour · seat 7 of 34 Labour · seat 8 of 34 Labour · seat 9 of 34 Labour · seat 10 of 34 Labour · seat 11 of 34 Labour · seat 12 of 34 Labour · seat 13 of 34 Labour · seat 14 of 34 Labour · seat 15 of 34 Labour · seat 16 of 34 Labour · seat 17 of 34 Labour · seat 18 of 34 Labour · seat 19 of 34 Labour · seat 20 of 34 Labour · seat 21 of 34 Labour · seat 22 of 34 Labour · seat 23 of 34 Labour · seat 24 of 34 Labour · seat 25 of 34 Labour · seat 26 of 34 Labour · seat 27 of 34 Labour · seat 28 of 34 Labour · seat 29 of 34 Labour · seat 30 of 34 Labour · seat 31 of 34 Labour · seat 32 of 34 Labour · seat 33 of 34 Labour · seat 34 of 34 Green · seat 1 of 19 Green · seat 2 of 19 Green · seat 3 of 19 Green · seat 4 of 19 Green · seat 5 of 19 Green · seat 6 of 19 Green · seat 7 of 19 Green · seat 8 of 19 Green · seat 9 of 19 Green · seat 10 of 19 Green · seat 11 of 19 Green · seat 12 of 19 Green · seat 13 of 19 Green · seat 14 of 19 Green · seat 15 of 19 Green · seat 16 of 19 Green · seat 17 of 19 Green · seat 18 of 19 Green · seat 19 of 19 Te Pāti Māori · seat 1 of 1 Opportunity · seat 1 of 7 Opportunity · seat 2 of 7 Opportunity · seat 3 of 7 Opportunity · seat 4 of 7 Opportunity · seat 5 of 7 Opportunity · seat 6 of 7 Opportunity · seat 7 of 7 New Zealand First · seat 1 of 11 New Zealand First · seat 2 of 11 New Zealand First · seat 3 of 11 New Zealand First · seat 4 of 11 New Zealand First · seat 5 of 11 New Zealand First · seat 6 of 11 New Zealand First · seat 7 of 11 New Zealand First · seat 8 of 11 New Zealand First · seat 9 of 11 New Zealand First · seat 10 of 11 New Zealand First · seat 11 of 11 ACT · seat 1 of 14 ACT · seat 2 of 14 ACT · seat 3 of 14 ACT · seat 4 of 14 ACT · seat 5 of 14 ACT · seat 6 of 14 ACT · seat 7 of 14 ACT · seat 8 of 14 ACT · seat 9 of 14 ACT · seat 10 of 14 ACT · seat 11 of 14 ACT · seat 12 of 14 ACT · seat 13 of 14 ACT · seat 14 of 14 National · seat 1 of 34 National · seat 2 of 34 National · seat 3 of 34 National · seat 4 of 34 National · seat 5 of 34 National · seat 6 of 34 National · seat 7 of 34 National · seat 8 of 34 National · seat 9 of 34 National · seat 10 of 34 National · seat 11 of 34 National · seat 12 of 34 National · seat 13 of 34 National · seat 14 of 34 National · seat 15 of 34 National · seat 16 of 34 National · seat 17 of 34 National · seat 18 of 34 National · seat 19 of 34 National · seat 20 of 34 National · seat 21 of 34 National · seat 22 of 34 National · seat 23 of 34 National · seat 24 of 34 National · seat 25 of 34 National · seat 26 of 34 National · seat 27 of 34 National · seat 28 of 34 National · seat 29 of 34 National · seat 30 of 34 National · seat 31 of 34 National · seat 32 of 34 National · seat 33 of 34 National · seat 34 of 34
Polling seat estimateLabour and National are tied on 34 seats each. Select a party or seat for its breakdown.Source-published seat projection · majority mark: 61 seats
Source: 1News Verian · 120-seat alternative, no overhang · 28 Sep 2026. Using the seat projection published with this poll. This is the published 120-seat alternative with no overhang: Te Pāti Māori 1 seat and no independent seat for Te Tai Tokerau. The main 1News projection has 124 seats, including Te Pāti Māori 4 and Mariameno Kapa-Kingi 1. Majority: 61 seats.

RECENT POLLINGHistorical opinion polls · automatic source scan every 15 minutes

Recent polls

PARTY VOTE

1News Verian

Poll: Greens surge to best result ever as National, Labour slide further

Labour28%
National28%
Green16%
New Zealand First9%
ACT11%
Opportunity6%
Te Pāti Māori1%
Labour and National tied for highest supportLevel on 28%

1News Verian party vote: Labour 28%, National 28%, Green 16%, ACT 11%, New Zealand First 9%, Opportunity 6%, Te Pāti Māori 1%. Published 120-seat alternative: Labour 34, National 34, Green 19, ACT 14, New Zealand First 11, Opportunity 7, Te Pāti Māori…

PARTY VOTE

The Post/Freshwater Strategy

Historic major party slump deepens: Labour edges National in new poll

Labour28%
National27%
Green14%
New Zealand First13%
ACT9%
Opportunity6%
Te Pāti Māori2%
Labour highest in this poll1-point gap

The Post/Freshwater Strategy party vote: Labour 28%, National 27%, Green 14%, New Zealand First 13%, ACT 9%, Opportunity 6%, Te Pāti Māori 2%. Chris Hipkins led Christopher Luxon 45% to 35% as preferred prime minister.

Latest polling shows recent published snapshots first. Party rows use a fixed display order for consistency, while the actual highest figure is explicitly marked in each card. Historical polling remains in the separate history card; compare fieldwork dates and methodology before drawing conclusions.


Enrolment snapshot

General-electorate and Māori-electorate enrolment data, refreshed from the Electoral Commission’s monthly statistics.

General electorate roll

Estimated eligible4,051,640
General roll3,325,002
Māori roll311,522
Total enrolled3,636,524
Enrolled89.8%

Māori electorates

Māori roll311,522

People of Māori descent can choose the general roll or Māori roll when eligible to change roll type. This panel shows the Electoral Commission’s Māori-electorate enrolment total.

Investigation premieres today
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Released today

The Evidence Gap: David Seymour’s numbers don’t add up

David Seymour presented a series of figures as evidence ACT is delivering for New Zealand. This report examines those claims against Ministry of Education, Treasury and Reserve Bank evidence, including school lunch performance, the claimed $57,000 saving for ACT voters, and assertions around inflation and interest rates.

Image: The Waihopai satellite communications station in Marlborough. The facility sits at the intersection of intelligence sharing, international security cooperation, and New Zealand's role within the Five Eyes partnership, themes that increasingly overlap with the strategic direction outlined in the Government's $12 billion Defence Capability Plan. (Supplied / Daniel Town)
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