Weekly picks

LATEST POLL · SEAT ESTIMATE

Estimated House Seats

Projected House seats from the latest reviewed party-vote poll. This is a polling estimate, not an official election result.

PROJECTED LEADER Labour · 39 projected seats Using the seat projection published with the latest reviewed poll.
Labour · seat 1 of 39 Labour · seat 2 of 39 Labour · seat 3 of 39 Labour · seat 4 of 39 Labour · seat 5 of 39 Labour · seat 6 of 39 Labour · seat 7 of 39 Labour · seat 8 of 39 Labour · seat 9 of 39 Labour · seat 10 of 39 Labour · seat 11 of 39 Labour · seat 12 of 39 Labour · seat 13 of 39 Labour · seat 14 of 39 Labour · seat 15 of 39 Labour · seat 16 of 39 Labour · seat 17 of 39 Labour · seat 18 of 39 Labour · seat 19 of 39 Labour · seat 20 of 39 Labour · seat 21 of 39 Labour · seat 22 of 39 Labour · seat 23 of 39 Labour · seat 24 of 39 Labour · seat 25 of 39 Labour · seat 26 of 39 Labour · seat 27 of 39 Labour · seat 28 of 39 Labour · seat 29 of 39 Labour · seat 30 of 39 Labour · seat 31 of 39 Labour · seat 32 of 39 Labour · seat 33 of 39 Labour · seat 34 of 39 Labour · seat 35 of 39 Labour · seat 36 of 39 Labour · seat 37 of 39 Labour · seat 38 of 39 Labour · seat 39 of 39 Green · seat 1 of 12 Green · seat 2 of 12 Green · seat 3 of 12 Green · seat 4 of 12 Green · seat 5 of 12 Green · seat 6 of 12 Green · seat 7 of 12 Green · seat 8 of 12 Green · seat 9 of 12 Green · seat 10 of 12 Green · seat 11 of 12 Green · seat 12 of 12 Te Pāti Māori · seat 1 of 4 Te Pāti Māori · seat 2 of 4 Te Pāti Māori · seat 3 of 4 Te Pāti Māori · seat 4 of 4 Opportunity · seat 1 of 6 Opportunity · seat 2 of 6 Opportunity · seat 3 of 6 Opportunity · seat 4 of 6 Opportunity · seat 5 of 6 Opportunity · seat 6 of 6 New Zealand First · seat 1 of 15 New Zealand First · seat 2 of 15 New Zealand First · seat 3 of 15 New Zealand First · seat 4 of 15 New Zealand First · seat 5 of 15 New Zealand First · seat 6 of 15 New Zealand First · seat 7 of 15 New Zealand First · seat 8 of 15 New Zealand First · seat 9 of 15 New Zealand First · seat 10 of 15 New Zealand First · seat 11 of 15 New Zealand First · seat 12 of 15 New Zealand First · seat 13 of 15 New Zealand First · seat 14 of 15 New Zealand First · seat 15 of 15 ACT · seat 1 of 9 ACT · seat 2 of 9 ACT · seat 3 of 9 ACT · seat 4 of 9 ACT · seat 5 of 9 ACT · seat 6 of 9 ACT · seat 7 of 9 ACT · seat 8 of 9 ACT · seat 9 of 9 National · seat 1 of 35 National · seat 2 of 35 National · seat 3 of 35 National · seat 4 of 35 National · seat 5 of 35 National · seat 6 of 35 National · seat 7 of 35 National · seat 8 of 35 National · seat 9 of 35 National · seat 10 of 35 National · seat 11 of 35 National · seat 12 of 35 National · seat 13 of 35 National · seat 14 of 35 National · seat 15 of 35 National · seat 16 of 35 National · seat 17 of 35 National · seat 18 of 35 National · seat 19 of 35 National · seat 20 of 35 National · seat 21 of 35 National · seat 22 of 35 National · seat 23 of 35 National · seat 24 of 35 National · seat 25 of 35 National · seat 26 of 35 National · seat 27 of 35 National · seat 28 of 35 National · seat 29 of 35 National · seat 30 of 35 National · seat 31 of 35 National · seat 32 of 35 National · seat 33 of 35 National · seat 34 of 35 National · seat 35 of 35
Polling seat estimateLabour has the highest projected seat total. Select a party or seat for its breakdown.Source-published seat projection · majority mark: 61 seats
Source: RNZ-Reid Research · 24 Aug 2026. Using the seat projection published with this poll. Majority: 61 seats.

RECENT POLLINGHistorical opinion polls · background source scan every 15 minutes

Recent polls

PARTY VOTE

RNZ-Reid Research

National’s pain is no gain for Labour in latest RNZ-Reid Research poll

Labour32.2%
National29.1%
Green10.2%
New Zealand First11.9%
ACT7.7%
Opportunity5.3%
Te Pāti Māori3%
Labour highest in this poll3.1-point gap

RNZ-Reid Research party vote: Labour 32.2%, National 29.1%, New Zealand First 11.9%, Green 10.2%, ACT 7.7%, Opportunity 5.3%, Te Pāti Māori 3.0%.

PARTY VOTE

1News Verian

Poll: Opportunity Party surges as NZ First slides amid Luxon saga

Labour30%
National29%
Green12%
New Zealand First8%
ACT9%
Opportunity8%
Te Pāti Māori1%
Labour highest in this poll1-point gap

1News Verian party vote: Labour 30%, National 29%, Green 12%, ACT 9%, New Zealand First 8%, Opportunity 8%, Te Pāti Māori 1%.

Latest polling shows recent published snapshots first. Party rows use a fixed display order for consistency, while the actual highest figure is explicitly marked in each card. Historical polling remains in the separate history card; compare fieldwork dates and methodology before drawing conclusions.


Enrolment snapshot

General-electorate and Māori-electorate enrolment data, refreshed from the Electoral Commission’s monthly statistics.

General electorate roll

Estimated eligible4,051,640
General roll3,304,710
Māori roll304,725
Total enrolled3,609,435
Enrolled89.1%

Māori electorates

Māori roll304,725

People of Māori descent can choose the general roll or Māori roll when eligible to change roll type. This panel shows the Electoral Commission’s Māori-electorate enrolment total.

Investigation premieres today
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Released today

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David Seymour presented a series of figures as evidence ACT is delivering for New Zealand. This report examines those claims against Ministry of Education, Treasury and Reserve Bank evidence, including school lunch performance, the claimed $57,000 saving for ACT voters, and assertions around inflation and interest rates.

Image: The Waihopai satellite communications station in Marlborough. The facility sits at the intersection of intelligence sharing, international security cooperation, and New Zealand's role within the Five Eyes partnership, themes that increasingly overlap with the strategic direction outlined in the Government's $12 billion Defence Capability Plan. (Supplied / Daniel Town)
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