Weekly picks

Image: Writing on The Daily Blog, New Zealand political blogger and commentator Martyn Bradbury said an eight-day stay at Auckland Hospital following a serious medical emergency exposed him to what he described as an overstretched and under-resourced public health system, while praising frontline staff for continuing to provide compassionate and professional care under intense pressure. (Courtesy of The Bradbury Group) 1

‘HE’S LYING TO YOU’: Martyn Bradbury out of hospital, takes aim at Health Minister Simeon Brown


LATEST POLL · SEAT ESTIMATE

Estimated House Seats

Projected House seats from the latest reviewed party-vote poll. This is a polling estimate, not an official election result.

PROJECTED LEADER National · 38 projected seats Calculated from the latest reviewed party-vote poll.
Labour · seat 1 of 29 Labour · seat 2 of 29 Labour · seat 3 of 29 Labour · seat 4 of 29 Labour · seat 5 of 29 Labour · seat 6 of 29 Labour · seat 7 of 29 Labour · seat 8 of 29 Labour · seat 9 of 29 Labour · seat 10 of 29 Labour · seat 11 of 29 Labour · seat 12 of 29 Labour · seat 13 of 29 Labour · seat 14 of 29 Labour · seat 15 of 29 Labour · seat 16 of 29 Labour · seat 17 of 29 Labour · seat 18 of 29 Labour · seat 19 of 29 Labour · seat 20 of 29 Labour · seat 21 of 29 Labour · seat 22 of 29 Labour · seat 23 of 29 Labour · seat 24 of 29 Labour · seat 25 of 29 Labour · seat 26 of 29 Labour · seat 27 of 29 Labour · seat 28 of 29 Labour · seat 29 of 29 Green · seat 1 of 19 Green · seat 2 of 19 Green · seat 3 of 19 Green · seat 4 of 19 Green · seat 5 of 19 Green · seat 6 of 19 Green · seat 7 of 19 Green · seat 8 of 19 Green · seat 9 of 19 Green · seat 10 of 19 Green · seat 11 of 19 Green · seat 12 of 19 Green · seat 13 of 19 Green · seat 14 of 19 Green · seat 15 of 19 Green · seat 16 of 19 Green · seat 17 of 19 Green · seat 18 of 19 Green · seat 19 of 19 Opportunity · seat 1 of 12 Opportunity · seat 2 of 12 Opportunity · seat 3 of 12 Opportunity · seat 4 of 12 Opportunity · seat 5 of 12 Opportunity · seat 6 of 12 Opportunity · seat 7 of 12 Opportunity · seat 8 of 12 Opportunity · seat 9 of 12 Opportunity · seat 10 of 12 Opportunity · seat 11 of 12 Opportunity · seat 12 of 12 New Zealand First · seat 1 of 9 New Zealand First · seat 2 of 9 New Zealand First · seat 3 of 9 New Zealand First · seat 4 of 9 New Zealand First · seat 5 of 9 New Zealand First · seat 6 of 9 New Zealand First · seat 7 of 9 New Zealand First · seat 8 of 9 New Zealand First · seat 9 of 9 ACT · seat 1 of 13 ACT · seat 2 of 13 ACT · seat 3 of 13 ACT · seat 4 of 13 ACT · seat 5 of 13 ACT · seat 6 of 13 ACT · seat 7 of 13 ACT · seat 8 of 13 ACT · seat 9 of 13 ACT · seat 10 of 13 ACT · seat 11 of 13 ACT · seat 12 of 13 ACT · seat 13 of 13 National · seat 1 of 38 National · seat 2 of 38 National · seat 3 of 38 National · seat 4 of 38 National · seat 5 of 38 National · seat 6 of 38 National · seat 7 of 38 National · seat 8 of 38 National · seat 9 of 38 National · seat 10 of 38 National · seat 11 of 38 National · seat 12 of 38 National · seat 13 of 38 National · seat 14 of 38 National · seat 15 of 38 National · seat 16 of 38 National · seat 17 of 38 National · seat 18 of 38 National · seat 19 of 38 National · seat 20 of 38 National · seat 21 of 38 National · seat 22 of 38 National · seat 23 of 38 National · seat 24 of 38 National · seat 25 of 38 National · seat 26 of 38 National · seat 27 of 38 National · seat 28 of 38 National · seat 29 of 38 National · seat 30 of 38 National · seat 31 of 38 National · seat 32 of 38 National · seat 33 of 38 National · seat 34 of 38 National · seat 35 of 38 National · seat 36 of 38 National · seat 37 of 38 National · seat 38 of 38
Polling seat estimateNational has the highest projected seat total. Select a party or seat for its breakdown.Modified Sainte-Laguë estimate · majority mark: 61 seats
Source: Roy Morgan · 31 Aug 2026. No compatible source seat projection was available for these settings, so seats are estimated with modified Sainte-Laguë. Threshold: 5%. Qualified below threshold: none. Majority: 61 seats.

RECENT POLLINGHistorical opinion polls · automatic source scan every 15 minutes

Recent polls

PARTY VOTE

Roy Morgan

Roy Morgan New Zealand Poll: August 2026

Labour24%
National31%
Green15.5%
New Zealand First7.5%
ACT10.5%
Opportunity9.5%
Te Pāti Māori1.5%
National highest in this poll7-point gap

Roy Morgan party vote: National 31%, Labour 24%, Green 15.5%, ACT 10.5%, Opportunity 9.5%, New Zealand First 7.5%, Te Pāti Māori 1.5%. Fieldwork ran 27 July–23 August among 858 electors.

PARTY VOTE

RNZ-Reid Research

National’s pain is no gain for Labour in latest RNZ-Reid Research poll

Labour32.2%
National29.1%
Green10.2%
New Zealand First11.9%
ACT7.7%
Opportunity5.3%
Te Pāti Māori3%
Labour highest in this poll3.1-point gap

RNZ-Reid Research party vote: Labour 32.2%, National 29.1%, New Zealand First 11.9%, Green 10.2%, ACT 7.7%, Opportunity 5.3%, Te Pāti Māori 3.0%.

Latest polling shows recent published snapshots first. Party rows use a fixed display order for consistency, while the actual highest figure is explicitly marked in each card. Historical polling remains in the separate history card; compare fieldwork dates and methodology before drawing conclusions.


Enrolment snapshot

General-electorate and Māori-electorate enrolment data, refreshed from the Electoral Commission’s monthly statistics.

General electorate roll

Estimated eligible4,051,640
General roll3,304,710
Māori roll304,725
Total enrolled3,609,435
Enrolled89.1%

Māori electorates

Māori roll304,725

People of Māori descent can choose the general roll or Māori roll when eligible to change roll type. This panel shows the Electoral Commission’s Māori-electorate enrolment total.

Investigation premieres today
00:00:00
12:00pm NZST
NOW PLAYING
Released today

The Evidence Gap: David Seymour’s numbers don’t add up

David Seymour presented a series of figures as evidence ACT is delivering for New Zealand. This report examines those claims against Ministry of Education, Treasury and Reserve Bank evidence, including school lunch performance, the claimed $57,000 saving for ACT voters, and assertions around inflation and interest rates.

Image: The Waihopai satellite communications station in Marlborough. The facility sits at the intersection of intelligence sharing, international security cooperation, and New Zealand's role within the Five Eyes partnership, themes that increasingly overlap with the strategic direction outlined in the Government's $12 billion Defence Capability Plan. (Supplied / Daniel Town)
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